Indiana
is traditionally a very conservative state with a penchant not only for
electing Republicans, but also a state where Democrats tend to be Blue Dogs and
Republicans outright reactionaries. But
Indiana can also surprise on that. In
2008, while incumbent Republican Governor Mitch Daniels and Senate hopeful Dan
Coats beat their Democratic opponents by nearly two-to-one margins, Obama
narrowly carried the state by 30,000 votes. Governor Daniels, a fiscal
conservative who enthusiastically signed into law bills that established
Indiana as a right-to-work state and cut unemployment benefits, and said that
unions were no longer needed, also called for a Republican “truce” on divisive
social issues—even as he signed into law the defunding of Planned Parenthood in
Indiana (however, a federal district court issued a preliminary injunction
against defunding). Richard Lugar, a
long-established moderate Republican who’d served as Indiana Senator since 1976
and earned the respect of Democrats as well as Republicans, lost to Tea
Party-backed insurgent challenger (and state Treasurer) Richard Mourdock in
May’s primary by a 61%-39% margin—but Lugar isn’t campaigning for Mourdock, and
Mourdock’s Tea Party support could make him Indiana’s Sharon Angle or Christine
O’Donnell in the tight Senatorial race with Democrat Joe Donnelly. Angle and O’Donnell, Tea Party-backed Senatorial
challengers who handily defeated more moderate Republicans in the Nevada and Delaware
primaries in 2010, respectively, went on to major defeats in the general election.
Now,
with Mourdock and Donnelly running neck-to-neck, with latest polls showing them
in a statistical tie, a Donnelly win would help ensure Democratic control of
the Senate. Whereas Lugar was nearly
invincible each time he ran, Mourdock clearly is not; and his hardball campaign
against Lugar in the primary has alienated a lot of moderate Republicans and
conservative to moderate Democrats who would’ve gladly supported the six-term
Senator. That handily-received Tea Party
endorsement that was an asset to Mourdock in the primary could well turn out to
be a serious liability in the general election.
That, and non-support from Lugar Republicans.
Joe
Donnelly certainly hopes so, and is vigorously trying to appeal to disaffected
Lugar supporters as well as portray Mourdock as a Tea Party extremist. Mourdock, for his part, is now trying to tack
to the center, portraying himself as a typical Indiana conservative rather than
a Tea Party fanatic, and trying to make what political hay he can by vaguely referencing
Lugar’s stated wish after the primary that he hoped for a Republican majority
in the Senate (which a Mourdock victory could enable). But Lugar’s office recently slammed as
unauthorized a mailing from an outside group that claimed Lugar support for
Mourdock, and Lugar himself has refused to campaign for Mourdock.
Another
Republican candidate with strong Tea Party ties is Mike Pence, a six-term
Congressman running for Governor against Democrat John Gregg. Only this race isn’t even close—at least not
yet. Pence has a two-digit lead over
Gregg in statewide polls, has far outdone him in fund-raising, and has been
further aided by an initially lackadaisical campaign on Gregg’s part, along
with his inability to rally Democrats and reach out to women and independents. But Gregg has been aggressively trying to
change that lately, pointedly reaching out to disaffected Lugar supporters,
attacking Pence’s ultraconservative record as Congressman, and his fixation on
divisive social issues such as being staunchly anti-abortion, supporting a
cutoff of all federal funding for Planned Parenthood for any purpose, defining
marriage as only between a man and a woman, and a family as consisting of a married
man and woman only couple as heads of household (single-parent households would
thus not count as families, nor would households where heads of household were
not married, or of the same gender). Pence also wants to put into Indiana law a
stipulation that no other state has—that each piece of proposed legislation be
subject to an impact study on how it would affect such “traditional” families
as defined above.
Gregg
has also been actively pointing to Pence’s unabashed Tea Party support and
participation—regularly speaking at Tea Party rallies, and being the first
member of the Republican Congressional leadership to join Michele Bachmann’s
Tea Party Congressional caucus. To
counter this, Pence, like Mourdock, has been trying to tack to the
center—emphasizing on the campaign trail job creation, economic development,
and restructuring education to give more emphasis to vocational training rather
than college prep. But Gregg and the
Democrats charge that this soft-pedaling of social issues that Pence engages in
now could all change in January 2013 should Pence become Governor, and have the
power to force his prior widely-publicized far-right social agenda, which Gregg
calls “social engineering.” Pence is also widely considered as planning to use
his Indiana gubernatorial victory, should it come, as a springboard from which
to launch himself as a future Republican candidate for President.
Both
Gregg and Donnelly are conservative Democrats.
Donnelly, a Congressman from Indiana’s northwestern Second District, is
a member of the House Blue Dog caucus, while Gregg, former Speaker of the
Indiana House from 1996-2002 who describes himself as a “gun-totin’,
Bible-quotin’ Southern Indiana Democrat,” was Honorary Chair of the Hillary Clinton
for President Indiana Campaign in 2008.
And while Donnelly supported aspects of Obama’s program such as the
bailout and Obamacare, he’s also dissented from other aspects of it: he supports building the Keystone XL pipeline,
and opposes cap-and-trade legislation.
While
Gregg chose liberal present Indiana House Minority Leader Vi Simpson as his
running mate for Lieutenant Governor and actively worked with liberal Democrats
and Republicans as Speaker of the Indiana House, he implores prospective voters
to “Look beyond the party label” in this conservative state that last elected a
Democratic Governor in 2000. Donnelly
calls for tax cuts for small businesses to create jobs and supports a Balanced
Budget Amendment to the Constitution, conservative measures criticized by this
writer in his Examiner.com article, “Democratic Senatorial candidate Joe
Donnelly’s jobs program is Tea Party Light,” reposted on "Politically Incorrect Leftist."
As
for Indiana grassroots Tea Party activists, they are enthusiastically working
for both Pence and Mourdock. A news
story from Indianapolis TV station WTHR, “Mourdock finding support among Tea
Party,” http://www.wthr.com/story/19608135/mourdock-finding-support-among-tea-party, quotes Indiana
Tea Party activist Greg Fettig as saying that while Mourdock never said he was
a Tea Party candidate, “The Tea Party claimed him.” Fettig said this as he delivered a bundle of
pro-Mourdock signs to a fellow Tea Partier for placing, 25,000 planed for
strategic placement in Central Indiana alone.
WTHR political analyst Robin Winston says of the Indiana Tea Party and
Mourdock, “He was bought and paid for by them and supported by them.” Dr. Theo wrote enthusiastically in the
conservative Dakota Voice of a 2010 “Get
Out the Vote” rally in Plainfield, Indiana, where both Richard Mourdock and
Mike Pence spoke, that was sponsored and organized by the Indianapolis Tea
Party. (Plainfield is a small town to
the west of Indianapolis; the link to the story is http://www.dakotavoice.com/2010/10/pence-and-murdoch-at-indianapolis-tea-party/)
Of
course, Pence always had Tea Party support in Indiana because of his open
affiliation with the Party at the national level. The Tea Party at Perrysburg blog gushed on
January 18, 2012 that Pence had already raised $5 million for his campaign.
(http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2012/may/9/tea-party-wins-in-indiana/) But William
Teach admonished Pence in the June 17, 2010 Right
Wing News for trying to tie the Tea Party movement to a moral agenda that
was heavy on social issues such as support for “traditional” marriage and
against abortion instead of focusing exclusively on political issues such as
limited government, “loyalty to the U.S. Constitution” and individual liberty.
(http://www.rightwingnews.com/republicans/mike-pence-states-tea-party-should-also-focus-on-morality/) Of course,
sentiment such as Teach’s is not shared by many Tea Partiers, who are
enthusiastic supporters of draconian social legislation such as Pence endorses. Further, Kentucky Senator and Tea Party
supporter Rand Paul avidly praised both the Tea Party and Murodck’s primary
victory over Lugar in the conservative Washington
Times of May 9, 2012. (http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2012/may/9/tea-party-wins-in-indiana/)
However,
in mid-October a Tea Party group in northeastern Indiana was forced by the
property owner to move a billboard comparing Obama to Osama Bin Laden from its
original spot near the Allen Co. line (Indiana’s second-largest city, Ft.
Wayne, is located in Allen Co.). (http://www.courier-journal.com/viewart/20121015/NEWS0203/310150113/Indiana-tea-party-group-forced-move-anti-Obama-sign) In September, John Gregg got into trouble for
calling Mike Pence a “Teabagger,” a term many Tea Party members consider a slur.
(http://blogs.wishtv.com/2012/09/10/did-john-gregg-direct-a-slur-at-mike-pence/) And in early October an outside group
supporting Gregg, Believe in Indiana, posted ads in Indianapolis and Ft. Wayne
that show Pence speaking at a 2011 Tea Party rally in Washington, D.C. and
tying him to Mourdock as “Tea Party and extreme.” (http://www.wishtv.com/dpp/news/politics/new-ad-attacks-mike-pence) Tensions and tempers are running high this
election season in Indiana.
As
is seen from the above, the Mourdock-Donnelly and Gregg-Pence races, and the
role of the Tea Party in each, are generating a lot of media attention, far
more than usual in Indiana elections.
And this attention is not just confined to Indiana media. Nationally-read newspapers such as the Louisville Courier-Journal, the New York Times, the Washington Post, the Boston
Globe, and Slate have all run
stories on these races and the significance of Tea Party involvement, and the
defeat of Richard Lugar by Richard Mourdock was a national story as well. Mike
Pence and his political career and predilections have long been items of
national interest, and have generated further commentary in such Internet outlets
as the Daily Kos, Politico and Talking Points Memo. Indiana newsman Brian Howey published a piece
on the vicissitudes of John Gregg’s campaign that was reprinted widely. (Linked
at http://www.nwitimes.com/news/opinion/columnists/brian-howey/brian-howey-the-curious-campaign-of-john-gregg/article_bd0c126f-2010-5982-9e79-f774baa6cd8d.html) From these extensive media sources both
nationally and in Indiana this writer has drawn much of the material from which
this story has been composed—and the links that carry these items of
reference, while far too numerous to
list, show up readily on Internet search.
Indiana
is normally a sleepy place for news, even local news, so it’s really unusual
for such media attention to be drawn to anything Hoosier outside of the
Indianapolis Colts. However, these are
unusual elections, and considerably more than usual rides on the outcomes.
Riding
especially on the outcome of the Mourdock-Donnelly race are control of the
Senate and the political future of the Tea Party, both intertwined. The Tea Party’s had a history of winning
handily with its candidates in the Republican primaries, only to lose by large
margins in the general elections, and turn what should’ve been easy victories
for Republicans for Senatorial seats into resounding defeats and major
victories for Democrats. It happened
three times in 2010, with Sharon Angle in Nevada, Christine O’Donnell in
Delaware, and Ken Buck in Colorado. It
could happen again twice in 2012: had
Lugar won the Republican primary, he would’ve been close to invincible in
November; and had Todd Akin not won the Missouri primary against the Republican establishment candidate, that seat,
too, would’ve probably gone to the GOP.
As it is, Akin, who notoriously bawled that women never get pregnant in
cases of “legitimate rape,” is in a tight race with Democratic former underdog
Claire McCaskill; and Akin’s candidacy has been essentially disavowed by the
Missouri Republican Party because of that remark. While political handicapper Charlie Cook gave
the Republicans a 60%-70% chance to gain control of the Senate in 2011, he now
gives a 60% chance to the Democrats to stay in control. (The information for the above comes from
Dana Milbank’s October 19, 2012 column in the Washington Post, “The Tea Party is helping Democrats,” which has
been syndicated widely; link: http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/dana-milbank-the-tea-party-is-helping-democrats/2012/10/19/815e07e0-1a08-11e2-aa6f-3b636fecb829_story.html) Tea,
anyone?
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